TABLE 5 ESTIMATES OF 13-MONTH SMOOTH SOLAR ACTIVITY FOR BALANCE OF CYCLE 23 CYCLE 24 AND BEGINNING OF CYCLE 25 TIME 10.7 CM SOLAR FLUX (F10.7) GEOMAGNETIC INDEX (Ap) PERCENTILE PERCENTILE 75.0% 50% 5.0% 75.0% 50% 5.0% 2004.5833 AUG 104.5 104.1 102.8 15.0 14.0 13.3 2004.6667 SEP 102.9 102.1 99.9 15.4 14.0 12.7 2004.7500 OCT 101.4 99.7 95.7 15.4 14.1 12.2 2004.8333 NOV 99.5 97.3 90.8 16.3 14.0 11.5 2004.9167 DEC 97.9 95.4 88.1 16.8 13.9 10.7 2005.0000 JAN 95.3 93.6 85.5 17.1 13.8 10.0 2005.0833 FEB 94.3 92.1 82.9 17.2 13.6 9.5 2005.1667 MAR 93.4 90.9 81.2 17.0 13.5 9.5 2005.2500 APR 92.8 89.7 80.0 16.6 13.3 9.7 2005.3333 MAY 91.3 88.4 79.1 16.2 13.0 9.6 2005.4167 JUN 90.0 87.3 78.3 15.8 12.6 9.4 2005.5000 JUL 88.9 86.4 77.7 15.4 12.3 9.4 2005.5833 AUG 87.8 85.4 77.3 14.4 11.7 8.5 2005.6667 SEP 86.6 84.4 77.2 14.5 11.2 7.7 2005.7500 OCT 85.5 83.3 77.0 15.6 11.1 7.3 2005.8333 NOV 84.6 82.4 76.7 16.6 10.9 7.0 2005.9167 DEC 83.8 81.4 76.3 17.0 10.7 6.7 2006.0000 JAN 82.5 80.7 75.2 16.9 10.5 6.3 2006.0833 FEB 81.4 80.0 74.3 16.4 10.2 6.1 2006.1667 MAR 80.4 79.4 73.7 16.2 9.9 5.8 2006.2500 APR 79.5 78.8 73.1 16.6 9.7 5.8 2006.3333 MAY 78.6 78.0 72.3 16.8 9.8 5.8 2006.4167 JUN 78.3 77.1 71.4 16.8 9.8 5.9 2006.5000 JUL 77.8 76.2 70.9 16.6 9.9 6.1 2006.5833 AUG 77.0 75.5 70.8 15.8 9.9 6.4 2006.6667 SEP 76.5 74.8 70.6 14.9 9.9 6.7 2006.7500 OCT 75.5 74.2 70.2 14.5 9.9 6.9 2006.8333 NOV 74.6 73.7 69.8 14.9 10.0 7.0 2006.9167 DEC 74.3 73.3 69.7 15.3 10.1 7.1 2007.0000 JAN 74.4 73.0 69.6 15.8 10.3 7.2 2007.0833 FEB 73.8 72.7 69.2 16.1 10.4 7.4 2007.1667 MAR 73.8 72.5 68.5 16.5 10.4 7.4 2007.2500 APR 73.7 72.4 67.9 16.9 10.5 7.4 2007.3333 MAY 73.4 72.3 67.1 17.2 10.5 7.4 2007.4167 JUN 73.2 72.3 66.6 17.3 10.5 7.4 2007.5000 JUL 73.0 72.6 66.3 17.0 10.5 7.4 2007.5833 AUG 73.5 73.1 66.2 16.6 10.4 7.3 2007.6667 SEP 74.2 73.7 66.0 15.5 10.3 7.3 2007.7500 OCT 75.2 74.4 65.6 14.0 10.2 7.4 2007.8333 NOV 76.4 75.1 65.4 14.3 10.0 7.6 2007.9167 DEC 77.6 75.9 65.1 14.4 9.9 7.5 2008.0000 JAN 79.2 76.9 65.1 14.9 10.1 7.6 2008.0833 FEB 80.8 78.0 64.8 15.3 10.3 7.6 2008.1667 MAR 82.5 79.0 64.2 15.5 10.4 7.6 2008.2500 APR 84.9 80.2 64.4 15.8 10.4 7.7 2008.3333 MAY 87.4 81.9 64.9 15.9 10.4 7.8 2008.4167 JUN 89.7 84.0 65.5 16.1 10.7 8.2 2008.5000 JUL 91.6 86.2 66.3 16.3 11.0 8.5 2008.5833 AUG 93.3 88.6 67.4 16.6 11.3 8.6 2008.6667 SEP 94.8 91.2 68.9 16.8 11.6 8.5 2008.7500 OCT 98.1 93.7 70.5 16.5 12.0 8.6 2008.8333 NOV 101.4 96.5 71.7 15.6 12.1 8.6 2008.9167 DEC 104.8 99.4 73.0 14.8 12.0 8.5 2009.0000 JAN 107.9 102.3 74.7 14.6 12.1 8.4 2009.0833 FEB 111.6 105.4 76.3 14.3 12.1 8.2 2009.1667 MAR 116.2 109.1 78.6 14.3 12.1 7.7 2009.2500 APR 120.8 113.1 81.5 14.2 12.1 7.5 2009.3333 MAY 125.8 117.4 85.4 14.8 12.3 7.5 2009.4167 JUN 131.3 121.9 89.5 15.0 12.2 7.4 2009.5000 JUL 137.3 126.2 93.5 15.5 12.4 7.6 2009.5833 AUG 142.1 129.9 97.6 16.0 12.6 7.9 2009.6667 SEP 146.1 132.3 97.8 16.5 12.8 8.1 2009.7500 OCT 150.1 134.7 97.9 16.9 12.9 8.3 2009.8333 NOV 154.0 137.1 98.1 17.4 13.1 8.6 2009.9167 DEC 157.8 139.5 98.3 17.9 13.3 8.8 2010.0000 JAN 161.6 141.8 98.5 18.3 13.4 9.0 2010.0833 FEB 165.2 144.0 98.6 18.7 13.6 9.2 2010.1667 MAR 168.7 146.2 98.8 19.2 13.8 9.4 2010.2500 APR 172.1 148.2 98.9 19.6 13.9 9.6 2010.3333 MAY 175.2 150.2 99.1 19.9 14.0 9.8 2010.4167 JUN 178.2 152.0 99.2 20.3 14.2 10.0 2010.5000 JUL 181.0 153.7 99.4 20.6 14.3 10.1 2010.5833 AUG 183.5 155.3 99.5 20.9 14.4 10.3 2010.6667 SEP 185.8 156.6 99.6 21.1 14.5 10.4 2010.7500 OCT 187.7 157.8 99.7 21.4 14.6 10.5 2010.8333 NOV 189.4 158.9 99.7 21.6 14.6 10.6 2010.9167 DEC 190.7 159.7 99.8 21.7 14.7 10.7 2011.0000 JAN 191.7 160.3 99.8 21.8 14.7 10.7 2011.0833 FEB 192.3 160.6 99.9 21.9 14.8 10.8 2011.1667 MAR 192.5 160.8 99.9 21.9 14.8 10.8 2011.2500 APR 193.5 159.8 98.5 20.6 14.9 11.5 2011.3333 MAY 192.2 157.8 97.8 20.2 15.0 11.8 2011.4167 JUN 189.2 156.1 96.7 19.7 15.1 11.7 2011.5000 JUL 184.9 154.9 95.4 19.4 15.3 11.9 2011.5833 AUG 180.2 153.6 93.8 19.2 15.6 12.1 2011.6667 SEP 177.5 152.2 92.6 19.0 15.7 11.6 2011.7500 OCT 175.8 150.5 91.8 19.0 15.7 10.9 2011.8333 NOV 175.4 149.0 91.2 18.9 15.7 10.8 2011.9167 DEC 173.4 147.3 90.3 19.0 15.7 10.8 2012.0000 JAN 169.3 145.5 89.3 19.2 15.8 10.8 2012.0833 FEB 166.2 143.3 88.6 19.8 15.9 10.8 2012.1667 MAR 165.9 141.5 87.7 20.4 16.1 10.9 2012.2500 APR 163.7 140.1 86.2 21.4 16.3 10.8 2012.3333 MAY 160.6 139.0 85.4 21.9 16.5 10.7 2012.4167 JUN 159.8 137.8 84.9 21.6 16.6 10.6 2012.5000 JUL 158.8 136.3 84.0 21.3 16.4 10.3 2012.5833 AUG 156.3 135.1 82.7 21.8 16.5 10.3 2012.6667 SEP 153.6 133.9 81.3 23.1 16.7 10.4 2012.7500 OCT 152.4 132.6 80.4 23.3 16.9 10.9 2012.8333 NOV 151.6 131.0 79.8 22.7 17.0 11.7 2012.9167 DEC 151.1 129.4 79.1 22.6 17.0 11.8 2013.0000 JAN 149.3 128.0 78.4 22.7 16.9 11.9 2013.0833 FEB 146.2 126.8 77.5 23.2 17.1 12.0 2013.1667 MAR 144.8 125.7 76.5 23.9 17.3 12.1 2013.2500 APR 144.9 124.2 75.5 23.9 17.2 12.5 2013.3333 MAY 143.0 122.2 74.6 23.9 17.1 13.3 2013.4167 JUN 139.7 120.3 73.6 23.3 17.0 13.7 2013.5000 JUL 135.8 118.7 72.7 21.6 16.8 13.3 2013.5833 AUG 135.2 117.4 72.3 21.8 16.6 12.8 2013.6667 SEP 133.5 116.1 72.0 21.8 16.4 12.7 2013.7500 OCT 132.8 114.5 71.6 21.5 16.4 12.5 2013.8333 NOV 130.9 112.8 71.4 21.1 16.4 12.4 2013.9167 DEC 128.9 111.0 71.5 20.5 16.4 12.2 2014.0000 JAN 125.9 109.0 71.4 19.9 16.1 11.9 2014.0833 FEB 124.1 107.1 71.2 20.1 16.0 11.9 2014.1667 MAR 122.0 105.4 70.9 21.6 15.9 11.7 2014.2500 APR 119.0 104.0 70.7 23.2 15.8 11.7 2014.3333 MAY 118.6 102.7 70.5 24.0 15.8 11.5 2014.4167 JUN 116.9 101.3 70.7 25.1 15.7 11.3 2014.5000 JUL 115.8 100.1 71.1 25.8 15.7 11.3 2014.5833 AUG 115.7 98.8 71.2 25.0 15.6 10.8 2014.6667 SEP 116.6 97.6 71.4 25.0 15.6 10.3 2014.7500 OCT 114.5 96.5 71.2 24.1 15.7 10.7 2014.8333 NOV 111.2 95.2 70.7 22.2 15.7 10.8 2014.9167 DEC 109.4 94.0 70.3 21.4 15.6 10.8 2015.0000 JAN 108.2 93.2 70.0 21.7 15.8 11.0 2015.0833 FEB 106.7 92.5 69.6 22.4 16.0 11.2 2015.1667 MAR 104.8 91.5 69.2 22.6 16.0 11.2 2015.2500 APR 102.8 90.4 69.0 22.5 16.1 11.0 2015.3333 MAY 101.2 89.3 68.7 22.7 16.3 11.0 2015.4167 JUN 99.4 88.2 68.2 22.9 16.6 11.3 2015.5000 JUL 97.8 87.0 68.0 23.4 16.8 11.2 2015.5833 AUG 96.1 85.9 67.8 24.1 16.9 11.2 2015.6667 SEP 94.5 84.8 67.7 24.8 17.0 11.8 2015.7500 OCT 93.1 83.7 67.6 25.4 16.9 12.2 2015.8333 NOV 92.0 82.8 67.6 25.6 16.7 12.1 2015.9167 DEC 90.9 81.8 67.5 25.4 16.4 12.0 2016.0000 JAN 90.0 80.9 67.3 24.7 16.0 12.2 2016.0833 FEB 89.1 80.2 67.2 23.6 15.6 12.3 2016.1667 MAR 88.6 79.6 67.2 22.8 15.2 12.2 2016.2500 APR 87.4 78.9 67.2 22.4 14.9 11.8 2016.3333 MAY 86.0 78.4 67.2 21.9 14.6 11.2 2016.4167 JUN 85.4 77.9 67.1 21.6 14.2 10.7 2016.5000 JUL 84.6 77.3 67.1 20.9 13.8 10.0 2016.5833 AUG 83.4 76.8 67.0 20.0 13.4 9.4 2016.6667 SEP 82.1 76.2 67.0 18.7 13.1 9.0 2016.7500 OCT 81.0 75.7 67.0 18.2 12.8 8.5 2016.8333 NOV 80.1 75.2 67.0 18.7 12.6 8.0 2016.9167 DEC 78.9 74.9 67.1 18.7 12.5 7.8 2017.0000 JAN 78.2 74.6 67.3 18.4 12.4 7.4 2017.0833 FEB 77.7 74.2 67.4 18.4 12.2 7.0 2017.1667 MAR 76.9 73.9 67.5 18.8 12.1 6.6 2017.2500 APR 76.0 73.6 67.6 18.9 12.0 6.5 2017.3333 MAY 75.4 73.1 67.7 18.8 12.0 6.4 2017.4167 JUN 75.0 72.7 67.7 18.4 11.9 6.6 2017.5000 JUL 75.0 72.3 68.0 17.5 11.8 6.9 2017.5833 AUG 75.2 72.1 68.0 16.5 11.7 7.2 2017.6667 SEP 74.8 71.9 68.0 16.3 11.6 7.4 2017.7500 OCT 73.9 71.7 68.0 16.6 11.6 7.5 2017.8333 NOV 73.8 71.6 67.9 16.9 11.6 7.5 2017.9167 DEC 73.6 71.7 67.9 17.2 11.6 7.7 2018.0000 JAN 73.2 71.8 67.7 17.3 11.6 7.7 2018.0833 FEB 73.2 72.0 67.6 17.7 11.5 7.6 2018.1667 MAR 73.6 72.3 67.7 18.0 11.4 7.6 2018.2500 APR 73.6 72.6 67.6 18.2 11.4 7.6 2018.3333 MAY 74.0 73.0 67.6 18.1 11.3 7.6 2018.4167 JUN 74.0 73.4 67.7 17.8 11.2 7.5 2018.5000 JUL 74.6 74.1 67.9 17.3 11.1 7.5 2018.5833 AUG 75.6 75.0 68.1 16.3 11.0 7.5 2018.6667 SEP 77.0 76.1 68.5 15.5 10.9 7.5 2018.7500 OCT 78.5 77.2 68.6 16.1 10.8 7.7 2018.8333 NOV 80.3 78.2 68.8 16.3 10.8 7.7 2018.9167 DEC 82.4 79.5 69.1 16.6 10.9 7.8 2019.0000 JAN 84.0 80.8 69.3 16.7 11.0 7.7 2019.0833 FEB 85.2 82.2 69.6 16.8 11.1 7.7 2019.1667 MAR 86.5 83.7 70.2 17.1 11.1 7.8 2019.2500 APR 88.7 85.5 71.1 17.3 11.1 8.0 2019.3333 MAY 92.6 87.6 71.8 17.3 11.2 8.3 2019.4167 JUN 95.0 89.7 72.5 17.4 11.5 8.6 2019.5000 JUL 97.1 91.8 73.7 17.6 11.7 9.0 2019.5833 AUG 99.1 93.8 74.2 17.5 12.0 8.8 2019.6667 SEP 101.7 95.8 74.5 16.9 12.2 8.7 2019.7500 OCT 104.4 98.2 74.8 16.2 12.4 8.9 2019.8333 NOV 106.8 100.6 75.1 16.0 12.5 9.0 2019.9167 DEC 108.5 102.6 75.3 16.0 12.7 9.0 2020.0000 JAN 111.1 104.9 75.2 16.1 12.9 8.8 2020.0833 FEB 114.6 107.3 75.2 16.7 13.0 8.4 2020.1667 MAR 116.0 109.8 75.3 17.1 13.0 8.2 2020.2500 APR 117.8 112.2 75.7 17.5 13.1 8.2 2020.3333 MAY 120.4 114.8 76.1 18.2 13.2 8.1 2020.4167 JUN 123.7 117.3 76.6 18.5 13.2 7.9 2020.5000 JUL 126.4 119.6 77.5 18.5 13.1 7.8 2020.5833 AUG 129.8 121.7 78.3 18.7 13.1 7.9 2020.6667 SEP 133.4 123.6 78.6 19.0 13.2 8.1 2020.7500 OCT 137.0 125.3 79.6 18.6 13.3 8.6 2020.8333 NOV 141.7 127.2 80.8 17.8 13.3 9.2 2020.9167 DEC 147.0 129.1 82.2 18.1 13.4 9.6 2021.0000 JAN 150.9 131.4 84.1 18.9 13.5 10.1 2021.0833 FEB 152.9 133.8 85.4 19.1 13.6 10.1 2021.1667 MAR 155.0 136.2 86.3 19.5 13.9 10.3 2021.2500 APR 159.0 138.9 88.1 20.5 14.1 10.4 2021.3333 MAY 163.4 141.5 90.0 20.2 14.1 10.6 2021.4167 JUN 167.6 143.9 91.1 20.4 14.1 10.2 2021.5000 JUL 172.9 146.5 93.3 20.7 14.1 10.2 2021.5833 AUG 178.7 149.1 95.7 21.1 14.2 9.9 2021.6667 SEP 181.8 151.4 97.5 21.4 14.2 9.8 2021.7500 OCT 184.2 153.5 98.7 21.4 14.4 10.5 2021.8333 NOV 187.0 155.6 98.8 21.6 14.5 10.9 2021.9167 DEC 189.7 157.6 98.2 21.9 14.7 10.9 2022.0000 JAN 191.8 159.7 97.8 22.4 14.9 11.0 2022.0833 FEB 192.7 161.7 99.1 22.9 15.1 11.2