|Hurricane Season 2005: Irene||
Latest Update - August 19, 2005 12:06 p.m. EDT|
Irene Becomes a Hurricane, but Avoids U.S. East Coast
Just as Irene was finally strengthening into a hurricane, it veered north and east, sparing the US East Coast. Irene continued the record fast pace of the 2005 hurricane season, becoming the earliest 9th named storm, well before peak season in September. Irene was also a Cape Verde storm, just like Emily, originating west of the Cape Verde Islands in the central Atlantic. Storms typically do not form this far east so early in the season as water temperatures in the region are usually not yet warm enough. However, this year this part of the Atlantic has been much warmer than normal early in the season.
After forming into a tropical depression on the 4th of August 2005 in the central Atlantic, Irene moved in a general northeast direction. Unable to intensify because of shear and dry air, the storm moved along as a depression or a weak tropical storm for several days. Irene began to approach the US East coast on the 12th, having passed south of Bermuda, as a moderate tropical storm. Irene became a strong tropical storm on the 13th with maximum sustained winds
reported at 70 mph by the National Hurricane Center and began to turn more northward as a result of a weakness in the subtropical ridge west of Bermuda.
The next day on the evening of the 14th, Irene finally reached hurricane intensity with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph.
Since its launch back in the fall of 1997, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite has been providing valuable images and information on hurricanes and tropical cyclones over the Tropics. TRMM is a joint mission between NASA and the Japanese space agency JAXA. TRMM captured the above images of Irene at 05:43 UTC (1:43 am EDT) on 15 August 2005 soon after it became a hurricane.
The first image shows the horizontal distribution of rain intensity within the storm (top down view) as viewed by the TRMM satellite. Rain rates in the inner swath are from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), the only radar capable of measuring rainfall from space. Rain rates in the outer swath are from the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI). The rainfall pattern is overlaid on infrared (IR) data from the TRMM Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS).
TRMM shows that Irene is in the process of forming an complete eye. At this time, a well-defined partial eye wall is identifiable by the green and red semicircle. The outer rainbands show good banding (green arcs), a good indication of a well-developed circulation. The rain field is asymmetric with the bulk of the rain remaining on the eastern side of the storm (blue area), while a well-defined area of intense rainfall (red area) lies in the northeastern portion of the eyewall. This intense rain near the center of Irene is a good indication the storm will try to strengthen. As water vapor condenses into the cloud droplets that produce rain, heat is released. This heat, known as latent heat, is what drives the storm's circulation and is most effective when it is released near the core of the storm.
The second image was taken at the same time and shows the height of the precipitation columns within Irene (defined by the 15 dBZ isosurface). It shows
that the intense rain visible in the previous image is associated with an area of deep convection at denoted by the taller red towers. The tallest tower is
about 17 km high. These high towers can be a sign of future strengthening as was the case here. Irene intensified to 80 knots (92 mph) later on the 15th, before starting to weaken as the system moved over cooler waters and began to encounter westerly wind shear.
+ Click here to view LARGE Quicktime Animation [9.4 mb]15 dbz isosurface Precipitation Radar
+ Click here to view SMALL Quicktime Animation [1.3 mb]15 dbz isosurface Precipitation Radar
+ Click here to view SMALL MPEG Animation [.5 mb]15 dbz isosurface Precipitation Radar
+ Click here for more information on the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite
Images Credit: Hal Pierce
Captions Credit: Steve Lang
Irene was a Category 1 storm with sustained winds of 150 kilometers per hour (90 miles per hour) and stronger gusts when the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this image on August 15, 2005. The third hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic season, Irene is not expected to threaten land.
While Hurricane Irene may not affect the United States or Canada, it is having an effect on haze over the Atlantic Ocean. Hot, humid weather in the Mid-Atlantic states has allowed pollution to build up. As the haze flows out to sea, it is encountering Hurricane Irene, which is steering the haze in a wide circle around its northern edge.
Click this image to view an animation of Irene from NOAA/NESDIS, Image credit: NOAA
At 4 a.m. ET on August 16, Hurricane Irene was weakening slightly as it moved eastward over the north Atlantic. At that time, the center of hurricane Irene was located near latitude 36.7 north and Longitude 63.5 west or about 875 miles (1405 km) southwest of Cape Race Newfoundland, Canada. This is an animation generated from images from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES).
This animation comes in two parts. The first part, where the image is somewhat grainy and blurred is taken at night time, using an infrared sensor that captures heat. Irene is seen as the rotating circle in the middle of the animation. Once daylight arrived, the picture is captured in visible light and the details of the clouds become sharp and clear. In the top left hand corner of this animation, you can see the outline of Massachusetts.
Irene was moving toward the east near 9 mph (15 km/hr) and the motion was expected to continued through the day, with a gradual turn to the east-northeast expected by nightfall.
Irene's maximum sustained winds were near 85 mph (140 km/hr) with higher gusts. Some weakening was forecast during the next 24 hours.
Irene's hurricane force winds extended outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 millibars or 29.03 inches.
Hurricane forecasters were checking various data from NASA satellites to study Hurricane Irene's location and tweak their forecast for their report that was issued at 4 a.m. ET on August 16.
While looking at infrared satellite imagery, forecasters noticed little change in Irene's cloud appearance since 10 p.m. on August 15. Using data from microwave instruments which can "look through" clouds, they noticed Irene's eye and inner core structure degrading, indicating a decrease in Irene's strength. Scientists also used 6 hours of microwave data to estimate Irene's initial motion.
They used data from the SSM/I instrument onboard NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency's (JAXA) Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite, and NASA's Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) instrument onboard the Aqua satellite,
Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) data products are produced as part of NASA's Pathfinder Program. Microwave imagers can provide data on ocean wind speed, water vapor, cloud water, and rain rate.
The TRMM satellite data also showed forecasters that Irene's eye was tilted eastward.
To see where Irene may go next, forecasters are looking at an elongated area of low pressure, called a trough, over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. That trough is expected to move quickly eastward and push Irene to the northeast by 36 hours. Between 36-48 hours, Irene is expected to become a powerful extratropical low pressure system as she moves eastward. Once Irene hits the icy waters of the north Atlantic in about 48 hours, any remaining tropical characteristics should quickly disappear. Caption credit: Adapted by Rob Gutro, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. from the National Hurricane Center's site.
Irene was building towards a hurricane when the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this image at 2:20 p.m. U.S. Eastern Daylight Savings Time on August 14, 2005. By 11 p.m., Irene had become the third hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. The storm is moving northeast along the east coast of the United States and is not expected to make landfall, by National Hurricane Center predictions.
Along the top of the image, a pall of haze hugs the coast, blowing out over the Atlantic over the Chesapeake Bay. Such haze develops when hot, muggy weather caused by a high pressure system traps stagnant air. Emissions from cars and power plants build up, leading to hazy skies. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s AirNow web site warned that air quality levels in the Mid-Atlantic states would be unhealthy for sensitive groups to unhealthy for all groups on August 13. Clearly, haze continued to affect the region on the following day. + High resolution image
This display shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow). The orange circle indicates the current position of the center of the tropical cyclone. The black line and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center at the times indicated. The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC's forecast intensity for that time.
NHC forecast tracks of the center can be in error; the average track forecast errors in recent years was used to construct the areas of uncertainty for the first 3 days (solid white area) and for days 4 and 5 (white stippled area). The historical data indicate the entire 5-day path of the center of the tropical cyclone will remain within the outer uncertainty area about 60-70% of the time. There is also uncertainty in the NHC intensity forecasts. The intensity forecast chart and table below provide intensity forecast and intensity forecast uncertainty information.
It is also important to realize tropical cyclones are not a point. Their effects can span many hundreds of miles from the center. The area experiencing hurricane force (one-minute average wind speeds of at least 74 mph) and tropical storm force (one-minute average wind speeds of 39-73 mph) winds can extend well beyond the white areas shown enclosing the most likely track area of the center. The distribution of hurricane and tropical storm force winds in this tropical cyclone can be seen in the Cumulative Wind Distribution graphic displayed.
This image of Tropical Depression Irene was taken by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission
(TRMM) satellite as Irene continued its slow westward track across the central Atlantic Ocean.
The image was taken at 03:50 UTC on 10 August 2005 (11:50 pm EDT 9 August 2005) when
Irene was northeast of the Leeward Islands (visible in the lower-left). The image provides a
top-down view of the rain associated with Irene as detected by the TRMM satellite. Rain rates
in the center of the swath are from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), which is able to measure
rainfall from space. Rain rates in the outer swath are from the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI).
The rain rates are overlaid on infrared (IR) data from the TRMM Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS).
The center of Irene is hard to distinguish as the system is still poorly organized. At the time of
this image, Irene was a tropical depression with maximum sustained winds estimated at just
35 mph by the National Hurricane Center and was moving due west at 10 mph. Credit: NASA
Caption Credit: Steve Lang
Image Above: The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite captured this image
of Tropical Depression Irene at 11:20 UTC (7:20 am EDT) on 9 August 2005 as it was
moving westward across the central Atlantic Ocean. The image shows a top-down-view
of the rainfall within Irene as obtained from TRMM's sensors. Rain rates in the center
of the swath are from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), the only radar capable of
measuring precipitation from space. Rain rates in the outer swath are from the TRMM
Microwave Imager (TMI). The rain rates are overlaid on infrared (IR) data from the
TRMM Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS). At the time of this image, Irene was just a
tropical depression with sustained winds estimated at 30 mph by the National Hurricane
Center. The system was moving west at near 12 mph. By Steve Lang, SSAI / NASA
Irene Strengthening, May Affect U.S. Next Week
On Wednesday, August 10, 2005 at 10 a.m. Eastern Time (ET), the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said that Tropical Depression Irene's center is a little hard to determine based on the satellite images of cloud cover. However, to get a better fix on Irene's center, in addition to using pictures from the GOES satellite, the NHC used NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite's microwave imager and NASA's QuikSCAT scatterometer, which looks at winds.
They determined that a flow of air from the north, in the
mid-levels of the atmosphere is producing some "shear," which
is winds that weaken storms. That air flow is also bringing some very dry
air into Irene. However, the warm sea surface temperatures and air
flowing out of the storm is expected to allow for slow intensification.
According to the forecast discussion on the National Hurricane Center web
site, it is possible that Irene could reach hurricane strength before the
end of the forecast period which ends on Monday, August 15.
At 10 a.m. ET, Irene has started to strengthen. She's located near
latitude 22.4 north and longitude 57.7 west, or about 810 miles (1305 km)
southeast of Bermuda and about 455 miles (730 km) northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.
Irene's estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 millibars or 29.80
inches, a change from 1010 millibars at 5 a.m. ET, indicating a little
strengthening. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17
km/hr). For more information and further advisories, go to:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. Credit: NHC/NOAA
Goddard Space Flight Center