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Elvia H. Thompson
Headquarters, Washington
(Phone: 202/358-1696)

Krishna Ramanujan
Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md.
(Phone: 301/286-3026)

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Viewable Images

Caption for Image 1:Current Solar Cycle 23 During Maximum

This image from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) image shows large magnetically active regions and a pair of curving erupting prominences on June 28, 2000 during the current solar cycle 23 maximum. Prominences are huge clouds of relatively cool dense plasma suspended in the Sun's hot, thin corona. Magnetically active regions cause the principal total solar irradiance variations during each solar cycle. The hottest areas appear almost white, while the darker red areas indicate cooler temperatures. NASA & European Space Agency (ESA)

Caption for Image 2: Largest Sunspot Group Observed During Current Solar Cycle

Active region 9393 as seen by the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI) instrument on SOHO hosted the largest sunspot group observed so far during the current solar cycle. On March 30, 2001, the sunspot area within the group spanned an area more than 13 times the entire surface of the Earth! Sunspots like these can cause temporary decreases in total solar irradiance of the Earth of ~ 0.2 % as they pass across our side or the Sun during a week or ten days. This amount of missing irradiance is insignificant compared to the Sun’s total energy output but equivalent to all that man produces and consumes in a year! Credit: ESA & NASA

Caption for Image 3: New Sun/Old Sun

This footage from the SOHO Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) depicts a solar minimum (December 1996, on left) and a solar maximum (January 2000, on right). The file shows three sequences; the first with solar minimum and maximum side by side with dates; the second shows the same sequence without dates; and the third depicts a solar minimum with a transition to a solar maximum. The total solar irradiance of Earth varies by about 0.1 percent over each solar cycle with more occurring during solar maxima. Credit: NASA and ESA

Caption for Image 4: ACRIM Composite Showing Total Solar Irradiance Trend Between Solar MinimaThis graphic shows the recent trend of a .05 percent per decade increase in Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) in watts per meter squared, or the amount of solar energy that falls upon a square meter outside the Earth’s atmosphere. The trend was measured between successive solar minima that occur approximately every 11 years. At the bottom, the timeline of the many different datasets that contributed to this finding can be seen from 1978 to present. Credit: ACRIM3 Science Team (R. Willson)
For high resolution image, click here.

Caption for Image 5: Comparison Between Total Solar Irradiance Trend and Greenwich Sunspot Numbers

By comparing the two plots, it can be seen that the total solar irradiance is directly proportional to solar activity, a fact discovered by NASA’s SMM/ACRIM1 experiment. The sunspot numbers are representative of the general level of solar activity. The solar cycle occurs approximately every 11 years. The peaks in the Sunspot graph show the period of increased magnetic and sunspot activity called the "solar maximum," and the valleys show a quiet period called the "solar minimum." Credit: ACRIM3 Science Team (R. Willson)

For high resolution image, click here.

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March 20, 2003 - (date of web publication)

NASA STUDY FINDS INCREASING SOLAR TREND THAT CAN CHANGE CLIMATE

 

sun at maximum cycle

Image 1

 

Since the late 1970s, the amount of solar radiation the sun emits, during times of quiet sunspot activity, has increased by nearly .05 percent per decade, according to a NASA funded study.

"This trend is important because, if sustained over many decades, it could cause significant climate change," said Richard Willson, a researcher affiliated with NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University's Earth Institute, New York. He is the lead author of the study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters.

 

sunspots

Image 2

 

"Historical records of solar activity indicate that solar radiation has been increasing since the late 19th century. If a trend, comparable to the one found in this study, persisted throughout the 20th century, it would have provided a significant component of the global warming the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports to have occurred over the past 100 years," he said.

NASA's Earth Science Enterprise funded this research as part of its mission to understand and protect our home planet by studying the primary causes of climate variability, including trends in solar radiation that may be a factor in global climate change.

 

still from movie of solar minimum and maximum

Animation/Image 3

Click on image above to start animation.

The solar cycle occurs approximately every 11 years when the sun undergoes a period of increased magnetic and sunspot activity called the "solar maximum," followed by a quiet period called the "solar minimum."

Although the inferred increase of solar irradiance in 24 years, about 0.1 percent, is not enough to cause notable climate change, the trend would be important if maintained for a century or more. Satellite observations of total solar irradiance have obtained a long enough record (over 24 years) to begin looking for this effect.

 

ACRIM Composite Showing Total Solar Irradiance Trend Between Solar Minima

Image 4

 

Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) is the radiant energy received by the Earth from the sun, over all wavelengths, outside the atmosphere. TSI interaction with the Earth's atmosphere,oceans and landmasses is the biggest factor determining our climate. To put it into perspective, decreases in TSI of 0.2 percent occur during the weeklong passage of large sunspot groups across our side of the sun. These changes are relatively insignificant compared to the sun's total output of energy, yet equivalent to all the energy that mankind uses in a year. According to Willson, small variations, like the one found in this study, if sustained over many decades, could have significant climate effects.

 

Comparison Between Total Solar Irradiance Trend and Greenwich Sunspot Numbers

Image 5

 

In order to investigate the possibility of a solar trend, Willson needed to put together a long-term dataset of the sun's total output. Six overlapping satellite experiments have monitored TSI since late 1978. The first record came from NASA's Nimbus7 Earth Radiation Budget (ERB) experiment (1978 - 1993). Other records came from NASA's Active Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitors: ACRIM1 on the Solar Maximum Mission (1980 - 1989), ACRIM2 on the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (1991 - 2001) and ACRIM3 on the ACRIMSAT satellite (2000 to present). Also, NASA launched its own Earth Radiation Budget Experiment on its Earth Radiation Budget Satellite (ERBS) in 1984. The European Space Agency's (ESA) SOHO/VIRGO experiment also provided an independent data set (1996 to 1998).

In this study, Willson, who is also Principal Investigator of NASA's ACRIM experiments, compiled a TSI record of over 24 years by carefully piecing together the overlapping records. In order to construct a long-term dataset, he needed to bridge a two-year gap (1989 to 1991) between ACRIM1 and ACRIM2. Both the Nimbus7/ERB and ERBS measurements overlapped the ACRIM 'gap.' Using Nimbus7/ERB results produced a 0.05 percent per decade upward trend between solar minima, while ERBS results produced no trend. Until this study, the cause of this difference, and hence the validity of the TSI trend, was uncertain. Willson has identified specific errors in the ERBS data responsible for the difference. The accurate long-term dataset, therefore, shows a significant positive trend (.05 percent per decade) in TSI between the solar minima of solar cycles 21 to 23 (1978 to present). This major finding may help climatologists to distinguish between solar and man-made influences on climate.

NASA's ACRIMSAT/ACRIM3 experiment began in 2000 and will extend the long-term solar observations into the future for at least a five-year minimum mission.

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